Missiles Developed in India by DRDO |
Capabilities |
Agni-I |
Short range ballistic missile with operational range of 700-900km |
Agni-II and Agni Prime |
Medium range ballistic missile, nuclear capable, with operational range of 2000km |
Agni-III |
Intermediate range ballistic missile, nuclear capable range-3500 km |
Agni-IV |
Intermediate range ballistic missile, nuclear capable range- 4000 km |
Agni-V |
Inter-continental ballistic missile, surface to surface ,nuclear capable with strike range over 5000 km. |
Akash |
Short range surface-to-air missile, Endo atmospheric air defense |
Trishul |
Short range, low level Surface-to-air missile |
Dhanush |
Short range,ship launched ballistic missile |
Prithivi variant’s |
Short range, tactical surface-to-surface short-range ballistic missile with ranges of 150km ,250km, 350 km |
K variant’s |
Submarine launched ballistic missile with maximum range of 3500 km |
K-100 |
Air-to-Air medium range missile with range of 300km |
Pralay |
Canister launched tactical, surface-to- surface missile with range of 150-500 km |
Shaurya |
Short range submarine launched ballistic missile(SLBM) with range of 750km |
Prahaar |
Short range, tactical surface to surface ballistic missile with range of 150 km |
Pranash |
Short range, tactical surface to surface ballistic missile with range of 200 km |
Astra |
Air- to -Air missile with range of 80 km |
Nirbhay |
Subsonic cruise missile with range of 1000km |
BrahMos (DRDO and NPOM Russia) |
Supersonic cruise missile, capable of launch from land, Sea and Air. Variants are developed for Anti-Ship and Land-Attack roles. |
Source: Compiled by author
Expansionist Strategy of China in the Western Indian Ocean
China expands its western Indian Ocean expedition and intends to build overland routes connecting China via Central Asia to transport energy resources from Gulf and the Middle Eastern countries. The Energy lifeline follows Gulf-Pakistan-Xinjiang. The Gwadar port in Southern Pakistan acts as a point for offloading oil imports from the Middle East and then transporting them to China through railway and land routes (Simon, 2013). Distance from Kashgar in western china to Gwadar port is only 1500 km which is easy for transporting energy from Middle East and Persia gulf to China, this will be an alternate strategical route to Malacca strait, which connects Indian and Pacific Ocean. In addition China decided to build its second overseas naval base in Jiwani, near Gwadar port, in Pakistan’s Baluchistan province, to protect its SLOC and for geostrategic planning. Also, China invested in developing an all-weather road at Karakoram Range which pass through Gilgit-Baltistan, the de facto border in Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (POK). China conducted joint China-Pakistan Shaheen Air Force exercises with various combat operations and it continued to develop air and naval base on Pakistan’s western coast, it increase its military diplomacy with Pakistan, and there is a mutual transfer of technology between the two countries Pakistan expedite China’s missile program through the transfer of Tomahawk missiles, reverse engineering helped China create its air-launched KD-20 cruise missile and the ground-launched DH-10 cruise missile. Then China helped Pakistan to develop its Babur missiles by using this technology. Moreover, China helped Pakistan to develop nuclear weaponization, bomb designs, development of high-explosive components, and nuclear weapons delivery capabilities, Pakistan’s Airforce Navy and army were highly supported by China in terms of providing equipment and technology transfer. In the future, China will leverage Pakistan for power projection in the Indian Ocean region (Lalwani, 2023).
In addition, China supports Pakistan’s missile development program by providing an optical tracking system (Chen, 2018). In May 2020 People’s Liberation Army (PLA) incursion into Indian-controlled territory with its troops at several standoff locations along the Line of Actual Control (LAC); for rapid support, it deployed reserve forces from Tibet and Xinjiang to the interior part of western China. In June 2020, an attack in the Galwan Valley by the PLA caused the death of 20 Indian soldiers (Department of Defense, 2021). India found distrust of China even after the 2021 disengagement plan was executed to maintain peace at the LAC, and this forced India to retain its large military presence at LAC in Ladakh; during this security crisis, India deployed around 50,000 soldiers to the eastern part of Ladakh to contain China along with battle tanks, self-propelled howitzers, surface-to-air missiles, and brand-new Rafale multirole fighters to resume peace in Ladakh, apart from the crisis as a peacetime strength Indian Army traditionally deploys its one infantry division in Ladakh (Tarapore, 2021). LAC in Ladakh with China and Pakistan are the most strategic vulnerabilities for India.
China increased its presence in the African continent for its geoeconomic interest as part of its Belt and Road Initiative (Risberg, 2019). According to a government study on Chinese African economic and trade connections, China has established 25 economic and trade cooperation zones in 16 African countries and has continued to invest substantially across the continent throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. End of 2020, 623 enterprises were registered with China's Ministry of Commerce, with a total investment of USD 735 billion (Secretariat of the China Africa Economic and Trade Expo, 2021). China continues to invest heavily its two third of its total investments in more than 12 nations in the East African Region of the Western Indian Ocean, especially in Ethiopia and Eritrea; Ethiopia serves as a hub for China's Belt and Road Initiative, a growing initiative aimed at expanding Chinese influence through financing and building infrastructure in underdeveloped countries. Approximately 400 Chinese building and manufacturing projects worth over $4 billion are underway in Ethiopia. The Chinese are responsible for much of Ethiopia's air, road, and rail infrastructure (Sany & Sheehy, 2022).
Eritrea, a country in North-East Africa, has inked an agreement with China to join the Belt and Road Initiative and followed suit like Ethiopia; on November 25, 2021, the two countries signed a Memorandum of Understanding officially. Massawa and Assab are two magnificent natural harbors in Eritrea, which are strategically significant since it has access to the Red Sea, the Suez Canal, and Europe, as well as the Arabian Gulf and the Western Indian Ocean (Ellis, 2021). Besides its military base in Djibouti, China decided to establish a new Military base in Equatorial Guinea (ANI, 2022) which will be a coercive choke point for northern Atlantic Ocean access, this raises maritime security concerns for India and its strategic partners in the western Indian Ocean region and beyond. China’s interest in Africa is not only for its natural resources but to establish its overseas military bases for geostrategic planning and military objectives. On Par with China, India holds is strategic position in the African continent, Asia Africa Growth Corridor (AAGC) by India, Japan, and multiple African Countries against the Belt and Road Initiative in the African Continent. This combined vision of India and Japan is to promote development, connectivity, and cooperation between Africa and Asia, is a counter-balance strategy against China in Africa (Panda, 2017). Also India increased its military ties with Africa (Usmani, 2023).
Island Chain Strategy of China
To ease the maritime power projection, China uses Island chain strategy, which is a geographical security concept to project its offensive or defensive power against its adversaries in the periphery of the island chain through maritime expansion in these regions. PLA (N) expansion of the island chain has now grown beyond Oceania into the Indian Ocean and the African continent. The First Island Chain spans Kurils, the Japanese archipelago, and the Ryukyus to Taiwan, the Philippines, and Indonesia, the Second island chain stretches from Japan through the Marianas and Micronesia, and the third island chain spans the Hawaii region. The Fourth island chain stretches beyond the Pacific Islands chain into the Indian Ocean. China established its military strategy in Cambodia, which is a highly strategic location in the Gulf of Thailand to contain its adversaries in the South China Sea and Southern Pacific regions. It lends a $259 mn loan to Cambodia for infrastructure development projects (Reuters, 2018). Further both countries are involved in bilateral defense ties, many joint military exercises are carried out by Chinese and Cambodian forces, also Beijing promised to provide 100 million US$ for the modernization of Cambodia’s armed forces. In addition, Chinese warships visited Cambodia’s Sihanoukville deep water port in the Gulf of Thailand (Agence France-Presse, 2019). Further extension of China’s military establishment, it constructed a dual-purpose port at Hambantota in Sri Lanka and Gwadar port in Pakistan. The Fifth Island Chain spans the Western Indian Ocean and African Continent, in which China constructed its overseas naval base in Djibouti (Vorndick, 2018).
The militarization of artificial islands, Spratly, and Parcels in the South China Sea support China in maritime power projection against its adversaries in the first and second island chains. Surveillance optical tracking system in Vanuatu strengthens China’s espionage in the Southern Pacific Island chain (Chan, 2018). The location of Hambantota and Gwadar deep-water ports in the fourth island chain is a strategic maritime threat to India. In a critical situation, these Chinese ports in the Indian Ocean will be leveraged into the naval base for coercive escalation against India. The Sixth island chain peripheral covers Madagascar, Comoros, Seychelles, Mauritius, Mozambique, and Tanzania, where China’s trade agreements, infrastructure developments, and maritime expeditions in these regions are thriving coercive security threat in the Western Indian Ocean region. On par with China, India is raising its strategic position to choke China’s navigation in the Indian Ocean through military access to strategically located deep-sea Sabang port in Indonesia, which deters China in the straits of Malacca and Oman’s Duqm Port (Thakker, 2018).
These island chains are not officially demarcated, but it is tentative Sea Lanes of Communication for Beijing’s maritime expedition to secure its Belt and Road Initiative and its investments in the Indo-Pacific region. China’s military interest in Seychelles is a highly strategic location to deter India’s maritime access to the African continent and Atlantic countries as well (Singh, 2011). Also this is a strategic coercion for the U.S. Navy’s presence in Diego Garcia. Developing dual-purpose ports and overseas naval bases around the Indian Ocean is a swarming model tactic of China against India in the Indian Ocean Region to leverage its power projection. In addition China’s rising economic interest and bilateral trade with Saudi Arabia and signed a memorandum to boost cooperation on the Silk Road Economic Belt in this region (Saudi Press Agency, 2022).This will be a strategic coercion for India and its strategic partners in the Persian gulf and western Indian Ocean region.
Conclusion
To countermeasure China’s strategy in the Western Indian Ocean region and Africa, it is appropriate for India to strengthen its diplomatic and military balance with the Western Indian Ocean Island nations and African continent. Besides, to reduce Chinas influence in the southern Indian Ocean, the Intrigue of China in Sri Lanka will be intercession by India through both traditional and open diplomacy. Also by providing more financial and technical aid to maintain the political and social stability, or else after a decade, Sri Lanka will become a client state of China in the Southern part of Indian Ocean region. To neutralize China’s military power projection and for defensive strategy in the Indian Ocean region, it is appropriate for India to establish an Indian Ocean command; as a net security provider to the countries around the Indian Ocean region and beyond as a policy prescription. Moreover this will strengthen India’s military and naval interoperability with its partners in the Indian Ocean Rim Association and QUAD. In status quo, the QUAD will set a Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) to avoid economic, political, and technological coercion risks from China. Any military operation against China will leverage its strategy and offensive power projection into the Indo-Pacific region, which expedites India and its security partner’s surge to neutralize power projection for regional, geo-political, and geo-economic stability, against combat ready Chinese military forces.
This study also suggests that fostering the Western Indian Ocean coalition by India (WIQUAD Plus) with countries of such as Oman, South Africa, the French Reunion, Mauritius, and Madagascar defense ties are appropriate to deter China in the Western Indian Ocean region. Further, to choke strategic locations of China in the Indo-Pacific region, Countries such as Sri Lanka, Maldives, Myanmar, Cambodia, Vietnam, and Thailand are need to be supported in terms of finance and essential technologies, this will reduce China’s influence (Debt trap diplomacy) and avert these countries will become a Client state of China in the future. In addition, on par with China’s assistance in the Pacific region, India needs to extend its support through Capacity Building and Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Relief (HADR) to India – Pacific Islands Cooperation (FIPIC). In the status quo, raising China’s hypersonic ballistic missile threats and nuclear capability, it is appropriate to initiate a joint missile defense program with India-Israel-U.S-Canada (I2UC). This will be a deterrence for China, also it strengthens the maritime security from Indo-Pacific to Atlantic Region against China’s geostrategic aggressive posture.
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